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Year 11 Methods (Unit 1 & 2) Probability

The Addition Rule

20 practice questions 1 video lesson Theory + worked examples

Understand the addition rule for probability in Queensland Year 11 Mathematical Methods (QCAA). It gives the probability of the union of two events, subtracting their intersection so the shared outcomes are not double-counted.

You will learn to apply and rearrange the rule, recognise mutually exclusive events where the intersection is empty, use the complement, and read probabilities from Venn diagrams and two-way tables — a reliable technique across QCAA probability.

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Theory

In Year 11 Mathematical Methods (QCAA, Unit 1 Topic 5), the addition rule finds the probability of a union: \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\). This page shows how to apply it, rearrange it for a missing probability, handle mutually exclusive events, and use the complement rule \(P(A')=1-P(A)\) with Venn diagrams and two-way tables.

The addition rule gives the probability that \(A\) or \(B\) (or both) happens. Because \(P(A)\) and \(P(B)\) both include the overlap \(P(A\cap B)\), we subtract it once: \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\).

Two events are mutually exclusive when they cannot both occur, so \(P(A\cap B)=0\) and the rule simplifies to \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)\).

The complement rule \(P(A')=1-P(A)\) and De Morgan's law \((A\cup B)'=A'\cap B'\) let you find the probability of neither event: \(P(\text{neither})=1-P(A\cup B)\).

Subtract the overlap once. The only difference between adding and the addition rule is the \(-\,P(A\cap B)\) term. For mutually exclusive events that term is \(0\).
Union of two events shaded on a Venn diagramRegion probabilities zero point four, zero point one and zero point two; the union is shaded and the outside is zero point three. A B 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.3
On a Venn diagram, \(P(A\cup B)\) is the shaded region: add the three inner probabilities, \(0.4+0.1+0.2=0.7\). The outside is \(1-0.7=0.3\).
A two-way probability table (the four regions add to 1)
\(B\)\(B'\)Total
\(A\)0.250.350.60
\(A'\)0.200.200.40
Total0.450.551
A two-way table lists the four region probabilities. Row and column totals give \(P(A)=0.60\) and \(P(B)=0.45\); every cell adds to \(1\).

The addition rule:

\[P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\]
P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)-P(AB)

For mutually exclusive events (\(P(A\cap B)=0\)):

\[P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)\]
P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)

Complement and neither:

\[P(A')=1-P(A)\qquad P(A'\cap B')=1-P(A\cup B)\]
P(AB)=1-P(AB)
Rearranged forms: \(P(A\cap B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cup B)\), useful when the union is given and the overlap is unknown.

How to apply the addition rule

  1. Identify \(P(A)\), \(P(B)\) and \(P(A\cap B)\) from the words, a Venn diagram or a table.
  2. Check for mutual exclusivity: if \(A\) and \(B\) cannot both occur, set \(P(A\cap B)=0\).
  3. Substitute into \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\), or rearrange for the unknown.
  4. Use the complement \(P(\text{neither})=1-P(A\cup B)\) if the question asks for neither.
Example 1 — Applying the addition rule
For events \(A\) and \(B\), \(P(A)=0.5\), \(P(B)=0.3\) and \(P(A\cap B)=0.1\). Find \(P(A\cup B)\).
Solution

Substitute into the addition rule:

\(P(A\cup B)\)\(=\)\(P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\)
\(=\)\(0.5+0.3-0.1\)

Simplify:

\(=\)\(0.7\)

\(P(A\cup B)=0.7\).

Finding a union probabilityA only zero point four, both zero point one, B only zero point two; the shaded union is zero point seven. A B 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.3
Example 2 — Rearranging for the overlap
Given \(P(A)=0.6\), \(P(B)=0.45\) and \(P(A\cup B)=0.8\), find \(P(A\cap B)\).
Solution

Rearrange the addition rule for the overlap:

\(P(A\cap B)\)\(=\)\(P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cup B)\)
\(=\)\(0.6+0.45-0.8\)

Simplify:

\(=\)\(0.25\)

\(P(A\cap B)=0.25\).

Finding the intersection from the unionP of A is zero point six, P of B is zero point four five, union zero point eight; the shaded overlap is zero point two five. A B 0.35 0.25 0.20 0.20
Example 3 — Mutually exclusive events
One card is drawn from a standard \(52\)-card deck. Find the probability it is a king or a queen.
Solution

A card cannot be both, so the events are mutually exclusive: \(P(K\cap Q)=0\).

\(P(K)\)\(=\)\(\dfrac{4}{52}\)
\(P(Q)\)\(=\)\(\dfrac{4}{52}\)

Add the probabilities (overlap is \(0\)):

\(P(K\cup Q)\)\(=\)\(\dfrac{4}{52}+\dfrac{4}{52}\)
\(=\)\(\dfrac{8}{52}\)
\(=\)\(\dfrac{2}{13}\)

\(P(\text{king or queen})=\dfrac{2}{13}\).

Mutually exclusive events king or queenKings and queens cannot overlap, so the middle is zero; the shaded union is eight fifty-seconds. K Q 4/52 0 4/52 44/52
Example 4 — Neither (complement and De Morgan)
For events \(A\) and \(B\), \(P(A)=0.7\), \(P(B)=0.5\) and \(P(A\cap B)=0.35\). Find \(P(A'\cap B')\), the probability that neither occurs.
Solution

First find the union:

\(P(A\cup B)\)\(=\)\(0.7+0.5-0.35\)
\(=\)\(0.85\)

Neither \(=(A\cup B)'\) by De Morgan:

\(P(A'\cap B')\)\(=\)\(1-P(A\cup B)\)
\(=\)\(1-0.85\)
\(=\)\(0.15\)

\(P(A'\cap B')=0.15\).

Neither event via De MorganA only zero point three five, both zero point three five, B only zero point one five; the shaded outside is zero point one five. A B 0.35 0.35 0.15 0.15

Common pitfalls

Forgetting to subtract the overlap. \(P(A)+P(B)\) double-counts \(P(A\cap B)\). Always subtract it — unless the events are mutually exclusive.
Assuming mutual exclusivity. Only set \(P(A\cap B)=0\) when the events truly cannot both happen (like king and queen on one card).
Mixing up union and intersection. The addition rule finds \(P(A\cup B)\) (‘or’); the overlap \(P(A\cap B)\) is ‘and’.
Neither vs not both. ‘Neither’ is \(1-P(A\cup B)\); ‘not both’ is \(1-P(A\cap B)\). They are different.

Frequently asked questions

What is the addition rule in probability?

\(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\): the probability of \(A\) or \(B\) is the sum of the two probabilities minus the overlap.

Why do you subtract P(A and B)?

Because the overlap \(P(A\cap B)\) is counted in both \(P(A)\) and \(P(B)\); subtracting it once removes the double count.

What happens for mutually exclusive events?

They cannot both occur, so \(P(A\cap B)=0\) and the rule becomes \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)\).

How do you find a missing probability?

Rearrange the rule, for example \(P(A\cap B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cup B)\).

How do you find the probability that neither event occurs?

Use the complement of the union: \(P(A'\cap B')=1-P(A\cup B)\).

What is the difference between ‘neither’ and ‘not both’?

‘Neither’ is \(1-P(A\cup B)\); ‘not both’ is \(1-P(A\cap B)\).